How it is set
Size it several ways and take the one that covers all of them:
- Weeks of fixed costs: payroll, rent, loan payments, insurance and contracts, converted to a weekly figure. Two to four weeks is a common starting range.
- The worst outflow week: the week when payroll, rent and a tax remittance land together. The minimum should never be lower.
- Customer concentration: what goes missing if the biggest customer pays a month late.
- Lender covenants: a required minimum balance is a hard floor. Sit above it, not on it.
A minimum cash balance is different from a cash reserve. A reserve is money set aside for a downturn or an opportunity, usually measured in months and often held separately.
Worked example
| Method | Calculation | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Two weeks of fixed costs | 2 × $9,000 | $18,000 |
| Three weeks of fixed costs | 3 × $9,000 | $27,000 |
| Worst outflow week | Payroll $14,000 + rent $4,500 + tax $6,000 | $24,500 |
| Lender covenant | Line of credit requirement | $15,000 |
Two weeks ($18,000) does not cover the worst week ($24,500), so it is too low. Three weeks ($27,000) covers every test. The client agrees a round $30,000, and it becomes the floor line on the 13-week forecast.
Common mistakes
- Treating it as a target. Cash should usually sit above the minimum, not at it.
- Setting it below the worst week. One slow week of collections then means a missed payroll.
- Setting it at the covenant. One bad day puts the loan in breach.
- Never revisiting it. New hires, a new lease or a new loan all change the number.
Related terms
- 13-week cash flow forecast: A 13-week cash flow forecast is a week-by-week projection of the cash coming in and going out of a business over the next quarter, starting from today's bank balance.
- Cash runway: Cash runway is how long a business can keep operating before it runs out of cash if nothing changes.
- AP aging (accounts payable aging): An accounts payable (AP) aging is a report that lists unpaid supplier bills grouped by how long they have been outstanding or how soon they are due.
Further reading
- Setting a minimum cash balance for a small business
- How to build a 13-week cash flow forecast
- 13-Week Cash Forecast: the nvisin tool built around this